Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8711…d2d0
sports · 1367 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$422 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$361 · open −$61
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$361
Unrealized−$61
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses658 / 707
Est. fees paid−$262
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1365 / 1367
History coverage146d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 2 History 1365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$267
7 days−$3,407
14 days−$2,654
30 days−$1,956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 52¢ 32¢ $33 $20 −$13 (-38%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 64¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-99%)
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Kayla Day 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Pedro Martinez 50¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
ITF Hurghada: Aya El Sayed vs Sara Milanese Aya El Sayed 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Eduardo Ribeiro 74¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Marina Bassols Ribera 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
ITF Casablanca: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelygina Yasmine Kabbaj 56¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Blake Ellis 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ilkley: Alina Korneeva vs Celine Naef Alina Korneeva 36¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Miguel Damas 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler McCartney Kessler 76¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Alvaro Guillen Meza 44¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
ITF Tokyo: Colin Sinclair vs Jumpei Yamasaki Colin Sinclair 63¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Liudmila Samsonova 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Antonia Ruzic 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Janice Tjen 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Maximo Zeitune 51¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Elise Mertens 59¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Marco Trungelliti 70¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Ekaterina Maklakova 24¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$6 -26%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $51 +$52 +103%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $170 −$97 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $12 −$3 -24%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $50 −$46 -92%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $62 −$44 -70%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $51 +$36 +72%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $25 +$13 +49%
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $58 +$53 +91%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $50 +$23 +47%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $30 +$7 +22%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $31 +$70 +230%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $19 −$19 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$5 +52%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $23 −$22 -92%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $30 $0 -1%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $40 +$14 +34%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 11 $30 −$1 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $73 −$35 -48%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $99 +$15 +15%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $50 −$50 -99%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $12 −$12 -98%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $44 −$43 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $48 +$45 +95%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $99 −$98 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 11 $17 +$43 +249%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $100 −$45 -45%
ITF Tokyo: Shu Matsuoka vs Naoya Honda Jun 11 $101 −$8 -8%
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 11 $100 +$16 +16%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $13 −$13 -98%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $285 −$91 -32%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kurea Hayasaka Jun 11 $107 −$4 -3%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $54 −$53 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $16 +$87 +530%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $57 +$8 +15%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $39 −$30 -78%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $27 +$31 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$2 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$3 +35%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $44 +$22 +50%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $59 +$27 +47%
Lyon: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 10 $40 +$57 +140%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $50 +$11 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$123
other 10% −$100
crypto 9% −$171
world 0% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $7 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $8 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $7 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 93¢ $30 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 96¢ $73 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $9 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 95¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Arthur Gea 12¢ $9 1h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 64¢ $50 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 46¢ $51 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 15¢ $12 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Tristan Boyer 28¢ $72 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 48¢ $10 1h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 61¢ $50 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 69¢ $55 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Tatjana Maria 4¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 28¢ $9 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 62¢ $40 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 62¢ $10 3h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 65¢ $15 3h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Tristan Boyer 65¢ $30 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 527 -67.7% -70.8% 15% 13% -41.4%
≤30d 929 -28.7% -35.4% 38% 35% -19.7%
≤90d 1205 -12.1% -20.5% 46% 42% -14.0%
all 1365 -4.4% -13.5% 48% 45% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 45% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 38% -19.5%
15% -29.3% 32% -27.3%
20% -36.2% 25% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.69 · official $20.69 (match) · 3500 history records