Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:01:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8730…5a13
crypto · 379 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23,556 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,556 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23,556
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses288 / 91
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)379 / 379
History coverage146d
Avg bet$723
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 379 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,391
7 days−$15,701
14 days−$15,450
30 days−$19,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4,820 $0 −$4,820 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1,107 $0 −$1,107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6,500 $0 −$6,500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4,600 $0 −$4,600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1,788 $0 −$1,788 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1,450 $0 −$1,450 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $279 $0 −$279 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,143 −$1,107 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3,782 +$513 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9,034 +$3,601 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4,922 −$4,820 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,629 +$549 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6,073 +$1,746 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,495 −$1,450 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $7,781 +$1,379 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,849 −$1,788 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2,175 +$1,112 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,035 −$1,000 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,285 +$1,356 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,120 +$396 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3,604 +$2,621 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4,736 −$4,600 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $2,344 +$459 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4,405 +$980 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $525 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $761 +$184 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $920 −$900 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,492 +$1,026 +69%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $102 +$221 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $463 −$450 -97%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,013 +$459 +45%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $1,014 +$541 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$16 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,018 +$330 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,258 +$162 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,005 +$64 +6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 11 $7,963 +$968 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $6,569 −$6,500 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $1,514 +$258 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,028 −$750 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $506 +$107 +21%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 11 $10,020 +$402 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 06 $9,254 −$9,224 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $7,071 +$480 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 06 $3,028 +$456 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $3,022 −$3,022 -100%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Jun 01 $11,009 +$251 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 23 $203 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 22 $4,191 −$4,191 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $205 −$205 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 22 $817 −$496 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $204 −$204 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $3,760 +$1,109 +30%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $102 +$45 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 22 $3,145 +$137 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$26,788
other 11% +$1,634
tech 0% +$540
finance 0% +$459
world 0% +$379
sports 0% +$221
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $111 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $258 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $258 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $258 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $258 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $903 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $247 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $761 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $907 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $102 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $254 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $253 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $255 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $255 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $928 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1,018 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $441 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $583 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $373 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $607 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $210 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $812 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1,022 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $232 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $789 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $351 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -5.6% -14.6% 68% 58% -21.6%
≤30d 62 -16.7% -24.7% 60% 48% -20.2%
≤90d 375 -9.8% -18.3% 77% 28% -17.3%
all 379 -10.2% -18.7% 76% 28% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 28% -17.3%
10% -26.5% 14% -25.2%
15% -33.6% 8% -32.5%
20% -40.1% 4% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1488 history records