trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 56% | 28% | -7.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -18.3% | -26.1% | 56% | 28% | -7.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -22.6% | -30.0% | 53% | 26% | -7.9% |
| all | 24 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 54% | 29% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.8% | 29% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -37.4% | 25% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -43.4% | 12% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -49.0% | 4% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 83¢ | 86¢ | $100 | $103 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Uruguay leading at halftime? | Yes | 49¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26? | No | 42¢ | 32¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-23%) |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -53% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 21 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -56% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $101 | +$46 | +46% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $42 | −$42 | -98% |
| Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner | Jun 20 | $303 | −$47 | -16% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $100 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $110 | +$7 | +7% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +130% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $101 | +$35 | +34% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla | Jun 19 | $201 | +$23 | +11% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Jun 19 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 19 | $299 | +$9 | +3% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $6 | +$3 | +46% |
| Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026? | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | Sep 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Jul 19 | $10 | +$3 | +30% |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour? | Jul 12 | $7 | +$2 | +32% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Jul 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech? | Jul 05 | $1 | $0 | +5% |