Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:08:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
87 0x8741…b0cd crypto 1756 markets active 20h ago coverage 71d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 70d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1728W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day25.0pace
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$7
other 12% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -32.1% -38.6% 68% 0% -38.9%
≤30d 127 -9.6% -18.2% 90% 0% -18.2%
≤90d 1769 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 1% -10.5%
all 1769 -1.0% -10.4% 98% 1% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 1% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -19.0%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.8%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.56 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1728 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1769 / 1756
History coverage71d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1769 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 12AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 27h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records