trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 48¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $0 | −$200 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k? | Feb 16 | $68,450 | +$39,454 | +58% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? | Feb 16 | $62,181 | +$10,480 | +17% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Cit | Jun 23 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election? | Nov 08 | $402 | +$198 | +49% |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election? | Nov 07 | $778 | +$362 | +47% |
| Senate control after 2024 election? | Nov 07 | $1,568 | +$426 | +27% |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election | Nov 06 | $951 | +$63 | +7% |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $500 | +$253 | +51% |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election? | Nov 06 | $350 | −$301 | -86% |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $250 | −$227 | -91% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $1,563 | +$117 | +8% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Nov 06 | $1,049 | −$202 | -19% |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states? | Nov 06 | $250 | −$44 | -18% |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $200 | −$4 | -2% |
| Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points? | Nov 06 | $500 | +$174 | +35% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 15 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 60% | 47% | +23.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.6% | 47% | +23.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.2% | 40% | +11.5% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 27% | +0.8% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 13% | -9.1% |