Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T00:34:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
87 0x876b…fb42 crypto 1200 markets active 0h ago coverage 71d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$9 (+1%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%1163W / 37L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day17.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$3now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 262 -0.5% -10.0% 96% 2% -10.0%
≤30d 866 +0.4% -9.1% 97% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1200 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 2% -9.1%
all 1200 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 2% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 2% -9.1%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.8%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.16 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

71d coverage
Net worth$3
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1163 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1200 / 1200
History coverage71d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1200 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 29 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 28 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 31h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.06 · official $3.06 (match) · 2379 history records