Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x878a…b3f7
sports · 324 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$105 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open −$203
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,841
Realized+$98
Unrealized−$203
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses251 / 15
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions58
Markets (closed)266 / 324
History coverage4d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day100.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 58 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$79
7 days+$98
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? No 92¢ 99¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 92¢ 98¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5 Under 92¢ 97¢ $100 $105 +$5 (+5%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? No 92¢ 96¢ $100 $104 +$4 (+4%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 92¢ 99¢ $96 $103 +$7 (+7%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 Under 92¢ 94¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-15.5) Spurs 92¢ 94¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-14.5) Spurs 92¢ 94¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) Spurs 92¢ 93¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 92¢ 92¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 Under 92¢ 92¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 92¢ 92¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Spurs (-24.5) Knicks 92¢ 90¢ $100 $98 −$2 (-2%)
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 92¢ 90¢ $100 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Under 92¢ 90¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Under 92¢ 89¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 86¢ $100 $94 −$6 (-6%)
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5) Houston Astros 92¢ 86¢ $100 $93 −$6 (-6%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? No 92¢ 86¢ $100 $93 −$7 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $51 +$4 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Raphinha: 1+ goals Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $31 +$3 +9%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $51 +$4 +8%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $6 +$1 +8%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $62 +$5 +9%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $90 +$8 +9%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$260
other 12% +$88
weather 5% +$40
crypto 4% +$13
world 2% +$11
culture 1% −$2
finance 0% +$3
politics 0% +$1
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 92¢ $100 1m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $12 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $6 3m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $3 4m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 4m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 90¢ $98 5m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Under 92¢ $52 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Under 92¢ $21 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Under 92¢ $18 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 BUY Under 92¢ $9 5m
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) BUY Spurs 92¢ $100 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Under 92¢ $17 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Under 92¢ $18 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Under 92¢ $18 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Under 92¢ $46 7m
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 92¢ $100 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5 BUY Under 92¢ $11 7m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 9m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $41 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 15m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 92¢ $15 20m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 92¢ $85 20m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 92¢ $17 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 92¢ $77 21m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 92¢ $6 21m
Spread: Knicks (-12.5) BUY Spurs 92¢ $99 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 266 +2.4% -7.3% 94% 1% -8.6%
≤30d 266 +2.4% -7.3% 94% 1% -8.6%
≤90d 266 +2.4% -7.3% 94% 1% -8.6%
all 266 +2.4% -7.3% 94% 1% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 1% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 0% -17.3%
15% -24.3% 0% -25.3%
20% -31.7% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,840.64 · official $3,840.65 (match) · 687 history records