Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:54:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8796…848f
world · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses13 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage247d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $52 $0 +0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $47 −$1 -2%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $53 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 11 $57 +$1 +1%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +37%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Jun 10 $22 $0 +0%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Jun 09 $18 $0 -2%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 08 $44 −$2 -4%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 07 $58 $0 -0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 07 $54 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $53 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $50 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 04 $4 $0 +4%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $24 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 04 $29 −$1 -2%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Jun 03 $31 $0 +0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Mar 23 $7 $0 +3%
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? Dec 22 $15 +$1 +4%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Dec 16 $7 $0 +4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? Oct 23 $7 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? Oct 22 $7 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Oct 22 $7 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Oct 19 $1 $0 +7%
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? Oct 19 $14 $0 +3%
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Oct 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? Oct 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October? Oct 18 $1 $0 -3%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? Oct 14 $2 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Oct 11 $23 $0 -0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 10 $24 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? Oct 10 $23 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? Oct 09 $1 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 73% −$1
politics 15% $0
sports 4% +$1
tech 3% $0
other 3% $0
economics 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $10 20m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $42 20m
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 79¢ $52 1h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 85¢ $16 5h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 85¢ $15 5h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 85¢ $14 5h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $47 8h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $7 15h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 58¢ $46 15h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $24 16h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 58¢ $28 16h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 83¢ $11 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 83¢ $30 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL No 83¢ $17 2d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY No 82¢ $57 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? SELL Yes 77¢ $22 2d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? BUY Yes 77¢ $22 2d
Iran Nuke before 2027? SELL Yes 10¢ $18 3d
Iran Nuke before 2027? BUY Yes 10¢ $18 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 54¢ $33 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL No 54¢ $9 4d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 56¢ $44 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $58 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $58 5d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL No 53¢ $42 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +2.5% -7.2% 33% 8% -9.7%
≤30d 16 +2.0% -7.7% 38% 6% -9.8%
≤90d 17 +2.1% -7.6% 41% 6% -9.7%
all 32 +1.6% -8.1% 41% 3% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 3% -9.5%
10% -16.9% 3% -18.2%
15% -24.9% 3% -26.1%
20% -32.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 114 history records