trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 21 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 10% | 5% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 5% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -27.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $208 | $208 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $232 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $180 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $597 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $546 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $359 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $370 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $161 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $210 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $797 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | -19% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $3 | −$1 | -21% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $200 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $199 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 23 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $180 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Dec 26 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Nov 30 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 22 | $49 | $0 | -0% |