Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:57:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8798…62b8
sports · 310 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,307
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$33
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses180 / 118
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions12
Markets (closed)298 / 310
History coverage138d
Avg bet$57
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 12 History 298 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$55
14 days+$126
30 days+$259
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 99¢ $580 $583 +$3 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $540 $540 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 54¢ 69¢ $100 $129 +$29 (+29%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+4%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-15%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+108%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) Crystal Palace FC 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) EDward Gaming 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Anyones Legend 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 −$2 -88%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +48%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $3 +$4 +146%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +152%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $2 +$1 +46%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $3 +$5 +161%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 08 $2 −$2 -99%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $2 +$1 +62%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 June 1-7? Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 June 1-7? Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 June 1-7? Jun 08 $5 $0 +1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Jun 08 $5 +$6 +121%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? Jun 07 $203 +$39 +19%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $300 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $381 +$11 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 +$2 +93%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 −$4 -98%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $2 +$1 +70%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 06 $2 +$1 +55%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1 +$3 +197%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +79%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $4 −$3 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 +$2 +62%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 05 $3 +$1 +36%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2 −$1 -98%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 04 $5 −$4 -83%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $2 +$2 +83%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $2 +$2 +97%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) Jun 03 $2 +$1 +67%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 03 $5 +$10 +192%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 03 $11 +$24 +229%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 03 $11 +$18 +168%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 03 $3 +$5 +172%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$178
other 20% +$61
sports 13% −$234
culture 1% +$10
world 0% +$2
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $540 16m
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? BUY No 99¢ $480 17m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 38m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 46m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $2 56m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 56m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 6¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $2 6h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $2 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 65¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 48¢ $2 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 16h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $2 35h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $1 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 63¢ $2 42h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 67¢ $3 44h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 40¢ $3 44h
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY England 68¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 27¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 47¢ $2 3d
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 52¢ $2 3d
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) BUY TYLOO 54¢ $2 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? BUY No 96¢ $100 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $2 4d
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? SELL Yes 37¢ $10 5d
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? SELL No 95¢ $242 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +14.2% +3.4% 67% 50% -5.0%
≤30d 134 +12.4% +1.7% 62% 46% -5.4%
≤90d 233 -6.5% -15.4% 55% 37% -11.0%
all 298 -0.3% -9.8% 60% 34% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 34% -9.6%
10% -18.4% 32% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 31% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 25% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,307.21 · official $1,307.23 (match) · 804 history records