Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:10:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x8799…3e97
crypto · 72 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses25 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)68 / 72
History coverage47d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 4 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-17? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5 May 20 $7 +$2 +26%
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5 May 20 $2 +$1 +44%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $11 +$4 +40%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $4 +$2 +42%
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19? May 20 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw? May 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $2 −$2 -98%
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5 May 18 $1 $0 +23%
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5 May 18 $1 $0 +46%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 $0 +3%
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? May 17 $2 $0 +24%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória end in a draw? May 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2 −$2 -98%
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $30 +$3 +11%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $1 +$1 +108%
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $12 +$3 +23%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $42 +$4 +9%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-10? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 17 $3 +$2 +62%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-10? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10? May 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $1 −$1 -70%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19? May 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $1 +$1 +119%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$5
crypto 21% −$23
sports 8% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $4 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2h
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $7 23d
São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $2 23d
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 60¢ $4 23d
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 23d
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 23d
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 79¢ $10 23d
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 23d
Will Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 24d
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 24d
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 25d
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 81¢ $1 25d
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $1 26d
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19? SELL Yes 52¢ $3 26d
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? SELL No 100¢ $11 26d
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-17? SELL No 88¢ $10 26d
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 91¢ $10 26d
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-17? BUY No 85¢ $10 26d
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 26d
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 26d
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 80¢ $2 26d
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 26d
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 26d
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 26d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 26d
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 26d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-43.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 48 -62.7% -66.3% 27% 23% -24.2%
≤90d 68 -37.8% -43.7% 37% 34% -20.3%
all 68 -37.8% -43.7% 37% 34% -20.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -43.7% 34% -20.3%
10% -49.1% 31% -27.9%
15% -54.0% 22% -34.9%
20% -58.5% 13% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.90 · official $10.90 (match) · 148 history records