Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87a4…953e
sports · 1246 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$19,242 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$378 · open +$33
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$205
Realized−$378
Unrealized+$33
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses640 / 600
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$588
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1240 / 1246
History coverage112d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 4 History 1240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$527
7 days−$716
14 days+$3,216
30 days+$3,963
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Yes 20¢ 48¢ $50 $120 +$70 (+139%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 62¢ 60¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 55¢ 52¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-6%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Yes 20¢ 7¢ $52 $19 −$33 (-64%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 63¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim Jun 14 $101 +$43 +43%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $401 +$48 +12%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $36 −$29 -82%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $101 −$98 -97%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $202 +$68 +34%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $25 +$28 +109%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $30 +$27 +90%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $101 +$34 +34%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 +$7 +24%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $30 +$19 +62%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $25 +$11 +43%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $248 −$154 -62%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan Jun 13 $101 +$24 +24%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $201 +$22 +11%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $36 +$37 +104%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 +$76 +250%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $101 +$40 +40%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $102 +$92 +91%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 12 $50 −$15 -30%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $151 +$98 +64%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $25 −$1 -4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $233 +$113 +49%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $126 −$126 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $103 +$18 +18%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $151 +$61 +40%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $30 +$18 +60%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $143 +$51 +35%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$26 -100%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$5,435
other 11% +$203
crypto 1% −$19
politics 1% +$4,392
world 1% +$475
culture 0% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 55¢ $35 1h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim SELL Jangjun Kim 100¢ $77 1h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim SELL Jangjun Kim 88¢ $68 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $450 2h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 6¢ $7 3h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 3h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $401 3h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $36 3h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 62¢ $35 4h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 65¢ $101 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $270 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 63¢ $101 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $202 6h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 74¢ $101 13h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Yulia Putintseva 72¢ $101 18h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $25 18h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $30 18h
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 80¢ $30 18h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 61¢ $30 18h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova SELL Ashlyn Krueger 100¢ $36 18h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 69¢ $25 20h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan BUY Antonia Ruzic 80¢ $101 20h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 90¢ $201 20h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 34¢ $68 23h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 56¢ $112 24h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 49¢ $147 24h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro SELL Ben Shelton 49¢ $94 25h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 51¢ $101 27h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 64¢ $51 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -11.3% -19.7% 51% 50% -17.1%
≤30d 528 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 50% +3.1%
≤90d 1082 -9.8% -18.4% 51% 48% -8.5%
all 1240 -9.1% -17.8% 52% 48% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 48% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 42% -18.6%
15% -32.8% 32% -26.4%
20% -39.4% 22% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $205.24 · official $204.75 (match) · 3500 history records