Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87a7…cc07
other · 28 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -77%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 20
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)20 / 28
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 8 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Ecuador? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-32%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-33%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$24
sports 9% −$2
crypto 6% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Ecuador? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 54m
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 57m
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 57m
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Curaçao? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 11h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 12¢ $3 11h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 11h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 26h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 20¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Haiti 2 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 26h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 20 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 20 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 20 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.75 · official $7.70 (match) · 28 history records