trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 19 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $103 | $102 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $228 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on | Jun 15 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Jun 15 | $128 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $136 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $130 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 14 | $220 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 14 | $235 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $237 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 11 | $125 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $113 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 09 | $231 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 09 | $238 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 08 | $226 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 08 | $239 | $0 | -0% |