Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87ba…a08d
other · 15 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)3 / 15
History coverage21d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 12 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 46¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? No 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo Ronaldo 39¢ 39¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +388%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? May 22 $2 −$2 -99%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23? May 22 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$1
crypto 22% $0
politics 20% +$1
sports 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo BUY Ronaldo 39¢ $1 1h
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? BUY No 26¢ $2 1h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 9d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 9d
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 71¢ $2 9d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 20d
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 20d
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 51¢ $1 20d
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 46¢ $10 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+47.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +388.3% +341.8% 100% 100% +341.8%
≤30d 3 +62.8% +47.3% 33% 33% +12.4%
≤90d 3 +62.8% +47.3% 33% 33% +12.4%
all 3 +62.8% +47.3% 33% 33% +12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +47.3% 33% +12.4%
10% +33.2% 33% +1.7%
15% +20.3% 33% -8.2%
20% +8.5% 33% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.80 · official $45.80 (match) · 16 history records