Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:18:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87c8…72eb
sports · 833 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses724 / 119
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)843 / 833
History coverage20d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day168.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 843 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$40
14 days−$106
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Over 83¢ 83¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Under 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Under 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 4.5 Under 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic Novak Djokovic 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5 Under 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 Under 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Strasbourg vs. Paris Basketball Paris Basketball 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5 Under 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 16.5 Under 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Baltimore Orioles 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Minnesota Twins 79¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $4 $0 +12%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Baltimore Orioles winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Seattle Mariners winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: Tied after 5 innings? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Pittsburgh Pirates winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Tied after 5 innings? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings? Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$15
other 8% +$4
weather 1% $0
crypto 0% $0
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 100¢ $2 13m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 96¢ $1 26m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 94¢ $1 29m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren SELL Toby Samuel 100¢ $2 36m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 80¢ $2 37m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger SELL Ashlyn Krueger 75¢ $2 40m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 52¢ $1 45m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 99¢ $2 51m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 100¢ $3 53m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 72¢ $1 53m
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 86¢ $1 55m
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 97¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $4 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 88¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 76¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 99¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 99¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 98¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 86¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 93¢ $1 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Vitaliy Sachko 100¢ $2 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 91¢ $1 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 93¢ $1 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 87¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 100¢ $3 1h
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 96¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 97¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 98¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 -4.3% -13.4% 86% 7% -15.4%
≤30d 843 -2.2% -11.5% 86% 9% -10.6%
≤90d 843 -2.2% -11.5% 86% 9% -10.6%
all 843 -2.2% -11.5% 86% 9% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover168.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.5% 9% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 2% -19.2%
15% -27.7% 1% -27.0%
20% -34.8% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.00 · official $1.00 (match) · 3500 history records