Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:17:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87cd…60d7
crypto · 1121 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$86 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses502 / 619
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1121 / 1121
History coverage24d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day123.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$34
14 days−$43
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+107%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$5 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 419 -4.6% -13.7% 45% 35% -14.1%
≤30d 1121 -6.1% -15.0% 45% 34% -13.7%
≤90d 1121 -6.1% -15.0% 45% 34% -13.7%
all 1121 -6.1% -15.0% 45% 34% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 34% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 24% -21.9%
15% -30.6% 16% -29.5%
20% -37.4% 11% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.62 · official $0.00 · 3096 history records