Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:43:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
87 0x87e9…3454 crypto 197 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$23 (+2%) realized +$23 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate94%185W / 12L
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day69.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 197 +0.9% -8.8% 94% 10% -8.5%
≤30d 197 +0.9% -8.8% 94% 10% -8.5%
≤90d 197 +0.9% -8.8% 94% 10% -8.5%
all 197 +0.9% -8.8% 94% 10% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 10% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 3% -17.2%
15% -25.5% 1% -25.2%
20% -32.8% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.33 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses185 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)197 / 197
History coverage5d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day69.6
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 197 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 522 history records