trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 19 | $887 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 17 | $1,783 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $889 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $888 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 09 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 04 | $890 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $892 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 31 | $1,822 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 28 | $2,599 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 24 | $901 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 22 | $901 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $903 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 18 | $1,828 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 16 | $904 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $908 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 12 | $905 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 10 | $910 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 08 | $908 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 06 | $911 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 04 | $913 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 28 | $923 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 24 | $923 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 20 | $925 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 18 | $926 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $927 | −$1 | -0% |