Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T20:15:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
87 0x87f4…ab60 crypto 237 markets active 0h ago coverage 128d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$17 (+1%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate89%211W / 26L
Drawdown94%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day3.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$47
7 days+$39
14 days+$29
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$29
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +1.1% -8.5% 83% 6% -7.3%
≤30d 198 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 4% -8.1%
≤90d 198 -0.2% -9.7% 88% 4% -8.1%
all 237 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 3% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 3% -8.3%
10% -18.3% 2% -17.0%
15% -26.2% 1% -25.0%
20% -33.5% 1% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

128d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses211 / 26
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)237 / 237
History coverage128d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 237 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $30 −$14 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$16 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 25 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $30 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $30 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $32 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $30 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $30 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 500 history records