Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:44:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87f4…0528
crypto · 1365 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$122 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1132 / 233
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1365 / 1365
History coverage59d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$12
14 days−$13
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 +4.8% -5.2% 87% 61% -5.7%
≤30d 344 -0.5% -9.9% 83% 58% -9.9%
≤90d 1365 +0.5% -9.1% 83% 53% -8.7%
all 1365 +0.5% -9.1% 83% 53% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 53% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 27% -17.4%
15% -25.7% 9% -25.4%
20% -33.0% 4% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.00 · official $23.00 (match) · 2652 history records