Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:23:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87f5…9902
other · 32 markets active 3h ago
7.0score
+$12 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses15 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions13
Markets (closed)19 / 32
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit34%
Chart Positions 13 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 66¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 08 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $4 +$1 +24%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $2 +$1 +70%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 27 $5 +$3 +57%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $2 +$6 +291%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$2 +203%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% +$4
other 41% +$6
sports 6% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 73¢ $1 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 8h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $1 25h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 34h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $7 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 66¢ $1 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 3d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 80¢ $1 3d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 3d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 5d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 65¢ $2 8d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +79%
net ROI/market (all)+27.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +10.7% +0.1% 75% 75% -11.1%
≤30d 19 +40.7% +27.3% 79% 79% +5.4%
≤90d 19 +40.7% +27.3% 79% 79% +5.4%
all 19 +40.7% +27.3% 79% 79% +5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.3% 79% +5.4%
10% +15.1% 68% -4.7%
15% +4.0% 53% -13.9%
20% -6.2% 42% -22.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.59 · official $21.59 (match) · 58 history records