Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

87
0x87f8…7de3
sports · 178 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$1,281 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,273 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$110
Realized+$1,273
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses93 / 79
Est. fees paid−$202
Open positions6
Markets (closed)172 / 178
History coverage52d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 6 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$68
7 days+$958
14 days+$1,301
30 days+$1,491
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 25¢ 32¢ $25 $32 +$8 (+30%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 47¢ 54¢ $19 $22 +$3 (+15%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+5%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $20 $20 +$1 (+3%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-59%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ 0¢ $208 $0 −$208 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 28¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 49¢ 0¢ $366 $0 −$366 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Afghanistan win? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 58¢ 0¢ $117 $0 −$117 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Philadelphia Phillies 51¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 59¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4 +$6 +124%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $22 +$18 +78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $50 +$50 +101%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 12 $47 −$3 -6%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $13 +$7 +50%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $372 −$366 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $19 −$19 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $8 +$2 +32%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $33 +$27 +83%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $215 +$185 +86%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $30 +$170 +575%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $10 −$7 -73%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $102 +$98 +97%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $7 −$6 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $6 +$4 +65%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $203 +$197 +97%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $52 −$51 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $208 −$10 -5%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $103 +$127 +123%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $206 +$184 +89%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $19 −$19 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $7 +$3 +38%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $7 +$3 +42%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $13 −$13 -100%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $155 +$145 +93%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $49 +$41 +82%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $38 +$44 +118%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 +$13 +134%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $211 −$208 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $95 +$75 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $215 −$212 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $207 −$204 -99%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 09 $14 −$14 -98%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $12 −$12 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $32 −$32 -98%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $17 +$13 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $57 −$56 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $127 +$93 +73%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $251 +$269 +107%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $181 +$219 +121%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $82 +$68 +83%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 08 $108 −$106 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $104 −$102 -97%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 08 $2 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $22 +$8 +36%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $54 +$16 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,304
other 1% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 25¢ $26 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $8 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 47¢ $19 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 49¢ $20 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 28¢ $9 28h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 49¢ $50 28h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 SELL Over 44¢ $44 28h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Over 46¢ $47 28h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 36¢ $55 2d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 19¢ $19 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $316 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 6¢ $9 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 4¢ $3 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 54¢ $33 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 40¢ $20 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $54 3d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $200 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $54 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 16¢ $7 3d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 14¢ $10 3d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 53¢ $107 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $52 3d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $102 3d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 60¢ $6 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 50¢ $203 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Washington Nationals 49¢ $198 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Washington Nationals 50¢ $208 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $230 3d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 SELL Over 100¢ $390 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Boston Red Sox 31¢ $19 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +16.7% +5.5% 53% 53% +7.7%
≤30d 144 +9.2% -1.2% 53% 50% +5.3%
≤90d 172 +8.3% -2.0% 54% 50% +0.3%
all 172 +8.3% -2.0% 54% 50% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.0% 50% +0.3%
10% -11.4% 45% -9.3%
15% -19.9% 41% -18.1%
20% -27.8% 34% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $110.11 · official $110.11 (match) · 568 history records