Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x880b…c98b
sports · 218 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$223,898 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$231,475 · open +$7,577
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52,615
Realized−$231,475
Unrealized+$7,577
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses82 / 189
Whale WR (big bets)46%
Est. fees paid−$21,240
Open positions7
Markets (closed)271 / 218
History coverage30d
Avg bet$6,585
Trades / day112.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 271 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$168,447
7 days−$129,750
14 days−$226,023
30 days−$231,475
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 58¢ 98¢ $10,944 $18,585 +$7,641 (+70%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 83¢ 100¢ $10,807 $13,021 +$2,214 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 52¢ 100¢ $6,071 $11,669 +$5,599 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 56¢ 53¢ $7,946 $7,484 −$463 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 20¢ 26¢ $1,123 $1,431 +$309 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 12¢ 14¢ $346 $418 +$72 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 60¢ 0¢ $3,984 $3 −$3,981 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 35¢ 0¢ $1,603 $2 −$1,601 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ 0¢ $327 $0 −$327 (-100%)
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 39¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $11,710 $0 −$11,710 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5 No 45¢ 0¢ $690 $0 −$690 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Passion UA 17¢ 0¢ $1,577 $0 −$1,577 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 20¢ 0¢ $2,722 $0 −$2,722 (-100%)
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5 Yes 50¢ 0¢ $2,009 $0 −$2,009 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 28¢ 0¢ $1,396 $0 −$1,396 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 39¢ 0¢ $1,552 $0 −$1,552 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 57¢ 0¢ $478 $0 −$478 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A B8 9¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner KRÜ Esports 26¢ 0¢ $570 $0 −$570 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner 9z 61¢ 0¢ $7,318 $0 −$7,318 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner THUNDER dOWNUNDER 35¢ 0¢ $3,251 $0 −$3,251 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 34¢ 0¢ $11,543 $0 −$11,543 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Sinners 52¢ 0¢ $4,088 $0 −$4,088 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 61¢ 0¢ $1,612 $0 −$1,612 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $327 −$327 -100%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,577 −$1,577 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,722 −$2,722 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,552 −$1,552 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $478 −$478 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,311 −$5,311 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,088 −$2,088 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 12 $985 −$985 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,622 −$3,622 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,660 −$3,660 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Grou Jun 12 $4,578 −$4,578 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,038 −$1,038 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $4,300 −$4,300 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,187 −$3,187 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12,565 −$12,565 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,217 −$2,217 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7,002 −$7,002 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Jun 12 $1,610 −$1,710 -106%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $451 −$451 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,779 −$2,779 -100%
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,159 −$3,159 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Jun 12 $2,506 −$2,506 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,355 −$8,355 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $1,436 −$1,436 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $173 −$173 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,557 −$5,557 -100%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,512 −$2,512 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $296 −$296 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs Jun 12 $4,420 −$4,420 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $194 −$194 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,904 −$5,904 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,961 −$4,961 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $854 −$854 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group A Jun 12 $143 −$143 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,031 −$7,031 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $301 −$301 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,248 −$3,248 -100%
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,520 −$2,520 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,176 −$2,176 -100%
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 20.5 Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $376 −$376 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $3,289 −$3,289 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $362 −$362 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Jun 12 $1,523 −$1,523 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr Jun 12 $5,500 −$5,500 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$57,782
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $7 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $3 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $21 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $2,071 15m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $140 17m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $766 17m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $850 21m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 51¢ $4,189 21m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 64¢ $4,088 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 55¢ $3,685 46m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $6 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 55¢ $3,184 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $19 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $58 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $3 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $31 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 54¢ $5 47m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 84¢ $4,330 47m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $1,032 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $49 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $73 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $91 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $5 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $48 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $5 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $73 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $21 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $7 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $5 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 83¢ $19 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-45.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -56.4% -60.5% 24% 24% -21.7%
≤30d 271 -39.6% -45.4% 30% 30% -23.0%
≤90d 271 -39.6% -45.4% 30% 30% -23.0%
all 271 -39.6% -45.4% 30% 30% -23.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.4% 30% -23.0%
10% -50.6% 28% -30.4%
15% ← realistic here -55.4% 27% -37.1%
20% -59.7% 23% -43.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52,614.78 · official $52,614.78 (match) · 3500 history records