Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x880b…90a8
sports · 826 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses245 / 576
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$470
Open positions5
Markets (closed)821 / 826
History coverage65d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day39.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 5 History 821 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 67¢ 82¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+355%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? No 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 92¢ 94¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 92¢ 90¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 32¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+55%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-21%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5 Under 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Jeju SK FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Groningen vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.5 Under 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Canadiens Canadiens 50¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-02? No 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-05-01? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-02? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
FC Gifu vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 1.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5 Over 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5 Under 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-02? No 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will FC Gifu win on 2026-05-02? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5) Brighton & Hove Albion FC 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5 Over 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $3 $0 -11%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $3 $0 -12%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $3 $0 -8%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $3 $0 -15%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 09 $3 $0 -11%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $3 $0 +3%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $3 $0 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $3 $0 -7%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $2 $0 -11%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $5 $0 -4%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $3 $0 -8%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 06 $2 +$3 +114%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $3 +$1 +56%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $3 $0 -9%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $2 −$2 -62%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $3 $0 -7%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $3 $0 -1%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $3 −$1 -24%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $3 $0 +1%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 03 $3 $0 -7%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 03 $3 $0 -3%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 03 $3 $0 -5%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 03 $3 $0 -10%
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Jun 03 $3 +$2 +60%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 03 $3 $0 +5%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 02 $3 $0 -7%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 02 $3 $0 -7%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 01 $3 $0 -12%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 31 $3 $0 -8%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 31 $3 $0 -7%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 31 $3 $0 -15%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians May 30 $3 $0 -13%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 30 $3 $0 -6%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty May 30 $4 $0 +3%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 29 $4 $0 -2%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox May 29 $3 $0 -14%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 29 $3 $0 -8%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 29 $3 $0 -4%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $3 $0 -3%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings May 29 $3 −$1 -20%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $3 −$1 -47%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 28 $2 $0 -7%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $3 $0 -7%
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm May 28 $3 +$1 +36%
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire May 28 $2 −$1 -32%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx May 28 $3 −$2 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$762
other 26% +$777
world 2% −$7
crypto 1% −$38
politics 1% −$23
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 72¢ $1 27m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $3 51m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 27¢ $2 26h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 29¢ $3 26h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Texas Rangers 29¢ $2 27h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 30¢ $3 27h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 31¢ $2 27h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 31¢ $3 27h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 31¢ $2 37h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 32¢ $3 37h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets SELL New York Mets 31¢ $2 3d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 34¢ $3 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 58¢ $3 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 59¢ $3 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants 26¢ $2 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 27¢ $3 3d
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $2 3d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $3 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers SELL Minnesota Twins 33¢ $2 4d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 33¢ $3 4d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 31¢ $2 4d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 35¢ $3 4d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 28¢ $2 4d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 30¢ $3 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays SELL Tampa Bay Rays 53¢ $3 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ $3 4d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants SELL Washington Nationals 44¢ $3 4d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Washington Nationals 42¢ $3 4d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Seattle Mariners 33¢ $2 5d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 34¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -6.8% -15.6% 13% 0% -15.5%
≤30d 110 -4.3% -13.4% 19% 14% -11.1%
≤90d 821 -2.9% -12.2% 30% 24% -9.5%
all 821 -2.9% -12.2% 30% 24% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 24% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 20% -18.1%
15% -28.3% 15% -26.0%
20% -35.3% 13% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.15 · official $2.48 · 2735 history records