trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 50% | 50% | -6.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +26.9% | +14.8% | 67% | 67% | +53.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -15.3% | -23.4% | 36% | 36% | +17.2% |
| all | 34 | -8.8% | -17.5% | 53% | 35% | -2.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.5% | 35% | -2.7% |
| 10% | -25.4% | 26% | -12.0% |
| 15% | -32.6% | 21% | -20.5% |
| 20% | -39.2% | 18% | -28.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $30 | $25 | −$5 (-18%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+13%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+35%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-10%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-28%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $223 | +$168 | +76% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 20 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | May 19 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup? | May 16 | $10 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 05 | $1,323 | +$407 | +31% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 23 | $50 | +$100 | +200% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 11 | $20 | −$12 | -60% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 11 | $20 | −$6 | -29% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01? | Mar 02 | $20 | +$12 | +59% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jan 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) | Nov 22 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) | Nov 22 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3) | Nov 22 | $17 | +$3 | +20% |
| Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Nov 21 | $253 | −$253 | -100% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) | Nov 21 | $250 | −$13 | -5% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3) | Nov 21 | $362 | +$52 | +14% |
| Kings vs. Sharks | Nov 21 | $178 | +$37 | +21% |
| Rangers vs. Avalanche | Nov 21 | $161 | +$16 | +10% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 21 | $327 | −$56 | -17% |
| 76ers vs. Bucks | Nov 21 | $50 | +$17 | +33% |
| Hawks vs. Spurs | Nov 21 | $109 | +$38 | +35% |
| Wizards vs. Raptors | Nov 21 | $168 | −$6 | -3% |
| Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) | Nov 20 | $200 | +$3 | +2% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 20? | Nov 20 | $96 | −$37 | -38% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) | Nov 20 | $99 | +$6 | +6% |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Nov 20 | $90 | +$6 | +6% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 20 | $82 | +$8 | +10% |
| Thunder vs. Pelicans | Nov 18 | $77 | +$5 | +6% |