Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:08:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8845…09ae
crypto · 1203 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$112 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$112 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$112
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses732 / 471
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1203 / 1203
History coverage21d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day160.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days−$13
14 days−$58
30 days−$112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$112
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $7 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 +0.8% -8.8% 57% 32% -10.3%
≤30d 1203 -0.1% -9.6% 61% 40% -10.6%
≤90d 1203 -0.1% -9.6% 61% 40% -10.6%
all 1203 -0.1% -9.6% 61% 40% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 40% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 22% -19.2%
15% -26.2% 10% -27.0%
20% -33.4% 5% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records