Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8846…b4bf
crypto · 1218 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,510 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,498 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized+$1,498
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses447 / 532
Open positions5
Markets (closed)979 / 1218
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day2465.3
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 5 History 979 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,498
7 days+$1,498
14 days+$1,498
30 days+$1,498
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 30¢ 62¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 37¢ 50¢ $8 $11 +$3 (+33%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 34¢ 46¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+37%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 26¢ 40¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+52%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 31¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+156%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+133%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+203%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 27¢ 54¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+98%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+223%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+25%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+51%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+376%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+96%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+127%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+144%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 17¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+488%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+170%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +132%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +376%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +488%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +170%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% +$2,946
other 16% +$370
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 979 +14.6% +3.7% 46% 42% +7.2%
≤30d 979 +14.6% +3.7% 46% 42% +7.2%
≤90d 979 +14.6% +3.7% 46% 42% +7.2%
all 979 +14.6% +3.7% 46% 42% +7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2465.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.7% 42% +7.2%
10% ← realistic here -6.2% 37% -3.1%
15% -15.3% 33% -12.5%
20% -23.6% 29% -21.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.56 · official $40.79 · 3500 history records