Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:29:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8849…9a83
sports · 1347 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,618 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,618 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,618
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses690 / 657
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$969
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1347 / 1347
History coverage120d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day24.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1347 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$328
7 days−$204
14 days−$199
30 days−$1,112
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 50¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 56¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 61¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 52¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Alliance 42¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5) LGD Gaming 62¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 56¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 62¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 63¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 48¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 36¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-12.5) Connecticut Sun 43¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 32¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Weibo Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs FaZe 61¢ 0¢ $307 $0 −$307 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 35¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) Minnesota Lynx 55¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $102 +$87 +86%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$103 +210%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$91 +89%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $53 +$104 +197%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $79 −$5 -6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $152 +$102 +67%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$77 +76%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$63 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$48 +48%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$57 +56%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$50 +100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $90 −$90 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $105 −$104 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $303 +$141 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $71 +$46 +64%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $102 +$102 +101%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$48 -94%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $101 +$58 +58%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $191 −$189 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $244 −$240 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $309 +$43 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 +$63 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$96 -96%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 +$100 +100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $112 −$11 -10%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$50 +50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $108 −$108 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$25 -25%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $51 +$100 +197%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $102 +$107 +105%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$42 +41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $101 +$47 +47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $95 +$96 +102%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $101 −$55 -54%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $102 +$116 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $48 +$34 +71%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $102 −$86 -84%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $201 +$166 +82%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $75 −$74 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $51 −$49 -96%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $102 +$28 +28%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 11 $62 −$12 -19%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $101 −$94 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$11,605
crypto 5% −$1,162
other 0% +$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $150 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 78¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 61¢ $152 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $192 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 19¢ $49 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 100¢ $156 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $102 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) SELL Switzerland 38¢ $75 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 39¢ $79 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 52¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $116 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $178 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 33¢ $51 3h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 32¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 43¢ $51 4h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 56¢ $101 4h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $164 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 68¢ $138 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $158 4h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 61¢ $101 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 49¢ $102 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $101 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $143 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $149 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 63¢ $101 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $101 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $100 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $101 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $11 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -13.7% -21.9% 45% 45% -10.5%
≤30d 350 -5.1% -14.1% 51% 49% -12.6%
≤90d 1014 -7.8% -16.6% 50% 49% -19.4%
all 1347 -5.8% -14.8% 51% 50% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 50% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 47% -24.3%
15% -30.4% 40% -31.6%
20% -37.2% 31% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records