Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8852…c569
crypto · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,446 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,454 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,163
Realized−$5,454
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses304 / 372
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)676 / 251
History coverage1d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day3318.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 676 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,454
7 days−$5,454
14 days−$5,454
30 days−$5,454
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $713 $794 +$81 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $154 $169 +$15 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $104 $128 +$24 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $91 $113 +$22 (+24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $33 $101 +$68 (+210%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $81 $85 +$4 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 30¢ 100¢ $22 $74 +$52 (+233%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $23 $70 +$47 (+204%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $20 $63 +$43 (+220%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $36 $42 +$6 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 63¢ 62¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $24 $40 +$16 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 18¢ 100¢ $6 $36 +$29 (+464%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $21 $27 +$6 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 27¢ 100¢ $7 $26 +$19 (+264%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $12 $21 +$9 (+75%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 34¢ 100¢ $5 $16 +$10 (+191%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$2 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 56¢ 55¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $713 +$81 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$24 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$22 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$68 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$4 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$52 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$47 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$43 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$16 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$29 +464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$19 +264%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +191%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +270%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +900%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +45%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +426%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +35%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +614%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +223%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +900%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +43%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1329%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +203%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +257%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,562
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $28 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $130 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $34 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 676 +6.7% -3.5% 45% 31% -25.0%
≤30d 676 +6.7% -3.5% 45% 31% -25.0%
≤90d 676 +6.7% -3.5% 45% 31% -25.0%
all 676 +6.7% -3.5% 45% 31% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3318.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.5% 31% -25.0%
10% ← realistic here -12.7% 24% -32.2%
15% -21.2% 19% -38.7%
20% -28.9% 17% -44.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,162.95 · official $2,103.28 · 3500 history records