Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:05:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8858…8641
crypto · 1283 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,911 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,911 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$3,911
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses811 / 595
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1406 / 1283
History coverage20d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day113.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1406 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,889
7 days−$3,071
14 days−$3,366
30 days−$3,911
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 49¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $364 $0 −$364 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $364 −$364 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $510 −$525 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $112 −$112 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$20 -586%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,078
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $112 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 682 -11.7% -20.1% 52% 42% -26.0%
≤30d 1406 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 42% -22.2%
≤90d 1406 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 42% -22.2%
all 1406 -6.0% -14.9% 58% 42% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover113.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 42% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 35% -29.7%
15% -30.5% 31% -36.5%
20% -37.3% 27% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.03 · official $1.03 (match) · 3500 history records