trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 8 | -30.3% | -36.9% | 38% | 25% | -48.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.9% | 25% | -48.3% |
| 10% | -42.9% | 25% | -53.2% |
| 15% | -48.5% | 0% | -57.8% |
| 20% | -53.5% | 0% | -61.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | No | 60¢ | 62¢ | $104 | $107 | +$3 (+3%) |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $85 | $84 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | Yes | 37¢ | 30¢ | $7 | $6 | −$1 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Mar 19 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting? | Mar 19 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $7 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the Febru | Feb 13 | $249 | −$242 | -97% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeti | Feb 13 | $194 | +$54 | +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Feb 11 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Feb 11 | $100 | −$8 | -8% |