trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 19¢ | 46¢ | $15 | $37 | +$22 (+144%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 85¢ | 0¢ | $35 | $0 | −$35 (-100%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Over | 24¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $27 | +$24 | +87% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $6 | +$3 | +48% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $6 | +$3 | +42% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | −$7 | -69% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 56% | 56% | +12.4% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 56% | 56% | +12.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 56% | 56% | +12.4% |
| all | 9 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 56% | 56% | +12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 56% | +12.4% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 56% | +1.7% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 44% | -8.1% |
| 20% | -36.9% | 22% | -17.1% |