Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x888a…7197
crypto · 1087 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$192 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$192 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$192
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses742 / 385
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1127 / 1087
History coverage180d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1127 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$78
7 days−$92
14 days−$84
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$120
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 -29.1% -35.9% 51% 30% -29.3%
≤30d 299 -18.2% -26.0% 59% 37% -22.4%
≤90d 318 -19.1% -26.8% 59% 37% -23.3%
all 1127 -13.8% -22.0% 66% 36% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 36% -18.3%
10% -29.4% 16% -26.2%
15% -36.3% 7% -33.3%
20% -42.5% 3% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.81 · official $3.05 (match) · 3500 history records