Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:13:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x8893…3af7
crypto · 400 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$126 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses198 / 202
Open positions0
Markets (closed)400 / 400
History coverage57d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days−$46
14 days−$13
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 -9.7% -18.3% 57% 53% -15.4%
≤30d 332 -7.5% -16.3% 52% 47% -13.4%
≤90d 400 -10.1% -18.7% 50% 46% -15.8%
all 400 -10.1% -18.7% 50% 46% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 46% -15.8%
10% -26.5% 43% -23.9%
15% -33.6% 38% -31.2%
20% -40.1% 28% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 859 history records