Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T14:28:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
88 0x88c6…8756 crypto 165 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$26 (+1%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate67%110W / 55L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day78.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 165 -4.5% -13.6% 67% 35% -9.9%
≤30d 165 -4.5% -13.6% 67% 35% -9.9%
≤90d 165 -4.5% -13.6% 67% 35% -9.9%
all 165 -4.5% -13.6% 67% 35% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 35% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 17% -18.5%
15% -29.4% 9% -26.4%
20% -36.4% 5% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
43% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$12 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses110 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)165 / 165
History coverage4d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day78.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 165 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $49 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $12 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 24 $40 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $45 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 24 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 24 $72 −$72 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $77 +$15 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $58 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $106 −$105 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $102 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 23 $49 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 23 $80 +$14 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $52 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $103 −$102 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 23 $106 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 23 $130 +$28 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 23 $96 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 23 $74 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 23 $80 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 23 $97 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $71 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 23 $90 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 23 $119 +$37 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $111 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $76 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $74 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $58 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $91 +$19 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $72 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $26 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $67 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 23 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 23 $29 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 23 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 23 $16 +$3 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $40 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $45 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $72 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $77 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $58 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $106 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $102 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $49 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $18 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $80 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $52 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $103 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $106 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $130 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $96 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $74 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $80 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $97 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $100 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $71 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $90 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $119 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 460 history records