Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88cb…ab72
other · 231 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$336 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$391 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses127 / 102
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)229 / 231
History coverage129d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit49%
Chart Positions 2 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$62
7 days+$21
14 days+$250
30 days+$566
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 Under 89¢ 94¢ $72 $76 +$4 (+6%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 Under 75¢ 86¢ $17 $19 +$2 (+14%)
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-21? No 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Belgium? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 0 Bangladesh? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Belgium? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 2 Romania? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Belgium? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? No 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 0 Bangladesh? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-22? No 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-21? No 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9? No 95¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-04-26? No 85¢ 0¢ $1,110 $0 −$1,110 (-100%)
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22? No 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1? No 92¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 1 Bangladesh? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Singapore 2 - 1 China PR? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $201 +$37 +18%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $501 +$32 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $25 +$18 +70%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $501 +$54 +11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $20 +$17 +86%
Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 2 Bangladesh? Jun 06 $21 +$202 +982%
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 2 Bangladesh? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 0 Bangladesh? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 1 Bangladesh? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 0 Bangladesh? Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR? Jun 05 $173 −$19 -11%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 2 - 1 India? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 2 - 0 India? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 1 - 0 India? Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 1 - 1 India? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Tajikistan 0 - 0 India? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Singapore 2 - 1 China PR? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 0 China PR? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Singapore 0 - 1 China PR? Jun 05 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $202 +$69 +34%
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $26 −$25 -98%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $202 +$126 +62%
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 1 Romania? Jun 02 $81 +$62 +76%
Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 0 Romania? Jun 02 $202 +$36 +18%
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 2 Romania? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 0 Romania? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Georgia 0 - 1 Romania? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 0 Belgium? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 2 Belgium? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 2 - 1 Belgium? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Croatia 1 - 1 Belgium? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Croatia 0 - 0 Belgium? Jun 02 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 02 $411 +$12 +3%
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Costa Rica? Jun 02 $592 −$42 -7%
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 02 $221 −$8 -4%
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Costa Rica? Jun 02 $21 +$233 +1132%
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Costa Rica? Jun 01 $21 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Bulgaria 0 - 1 Montenegro? Jun 01 $51 +$116 +227%
Exact Score: Bulgaria 0 - 0 Montenegro? Jun 01 $162 +$33 +20%
Exact Score: Bulgaria 1 - 2 Montenegro? Jun 01 $21 −$20 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 71% −$65
sports 15% −$125
weather 11% −$101
crypto 3% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 75¢ $17 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 89¢ $72 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $25 20h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $201 27h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $501 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $25 2d
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $25 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $51 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $501 3d
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 40¢ $10 5d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? BUY No 15¢ $10 5d
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $20 7d
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 52¢ $20 7d
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $20 7d
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $20 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main BUY Bryce Mitchell 53¢ $20 8d
Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 2 Bangladesh? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 2 Bangladesh? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 0 Bangladesh? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: San Marino 0 - 1 Bangladesh? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: San Marino 1 - 0 Bangladesh? BUY Yes 18¢ $20 9d
Exact Score: Tajikistan 2 - 1 India? BUY Yes 12¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Tajikistan 2 - 0 India? BUY Yes 15¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Tajikistan 1 - 0 India? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 9d
Exact Score: Tajikistan 1 - 1 India? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Tajikistan 0 - 0 India? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR? BUY No 41¢ $153 9d
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 1 China PR? BUY Yes 14¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Singapore 2 - 1 China PR? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 9d
Exact Score: Singapore 1 - 2 China PR? BUY Yes 13¢ $21 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -43.8% -49.1% 44% 33% -8.1%
≤30d 54 +5.5% -4.5% 28% 24% +2.0%
≤90d 190 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 24% -12.1%
all 229 -5.0% -14.1% 55% 29% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 29% -11.4%
10% -22.3% 21% -19.9%
15% -29.8% 17% -27.6%
20% -36.7% 14% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.40 · official $95.40 (match) · 399 history records