trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 33% | 17% | -7.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 40% | 13% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 40% | 13% | -8.9% |
| all | 27 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 44% | 11% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 11% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 4% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 4% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 93¢ | 94¢ | $33 | $34 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 20 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $88 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 19 | $9 | +$3 | +36% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 30 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 30 | $28 | −$4 | -12% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Microsoft buy TikTok? | Jun 06 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will someone else win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | May 06 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Apr 27 | $3 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | Apr 26 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | Apr 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 24 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | Apr 05 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Minecraft' gross between 110m and 120m on opening weekend? | Apr 05 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? | Apr 05 | $27 | $0 | +1% |