Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

88
0x88d3…3ffd
crypto · 103 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$22 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses42 / 61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)103 / 103
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day166.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$7 +625%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -7.6% -16.4% 41% 34% -15.4%
≤30d 103 -7.6% -16.4% 41% 34% -15.4%
≤90d 103 -7.6% -16.4% 41% 34% -15.4%
all 103 -7.6% -16.4% 41% 34% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 34% -15.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 29% -23.5%
15% -31.7% 24% -30.9%
20% -38.4% 17% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 310 history records