trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +50.9% | +36.5% | 75% | 75% | +27.0% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 64% | 64% | +8.1% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 64% | 64% | +8.1% |
| all | 28 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 64% | 64% | +8.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.0% | 64% | +8.1% |
| 10% | +6.7% | 61% | -2.2% |
| 15% | -3.6% | 57% | -11.7% |
| 20% | -13.1% | 50% | -20.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 43¢ | 72¢ | $20 | $34 | +$14 (+69%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Under | 60¢ | 60¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 46¢ | 46¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 52¢ | 50¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $25 | +$33 | +129% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $25 | +$16 | +62% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $25 | +$39 | +152% |
| Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$16 | +65% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $76 | +$72 | +95% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 14 | $25 | +$14 | +55% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 14 | $61 | +$36 | +60% |
| Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 11 | $70 | +$8 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 11 | $50 | −$32 | -63% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 | Jun 11 | $30 | −$16 | -52% |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? | Jun 09 | $40 | −$30 | -74% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 09 | $30 | +$17 | +55% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 | Jun 09 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $31 | +$55 | +180% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | Jun 06 | $30 | +$19 | +62% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 06 | $52 | −$51 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Jun 06 | $30 | +$13 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5 | Jun 04 | $5 | +$3 | +50% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5 | Jun 04 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | Jun 04 | $20 | +$20 | +97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5 | Jun 04 | $80 | −$26 | -32% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 04 | $20 | −$5 | -27% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | May 31 | $45 | −$45 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 31 | $31 | +$40 | +132% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $81 | −$6 | -7% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $101 | +$65 | +65% |