Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T19:50:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
88 0x88ee…054a crypto 713 markets active 1h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (216 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,436 (-11%) realized −$1,436 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate26%197W / 568L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day215.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,677
7 days−$1,606
14 days−$1,548
30 days−$1,349
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$353
other 1% +$14
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (216 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 -81.9% -83.6% 11% 3% -26.5%
≤30d 765 -9.3% -17.9% 26% 19% -17.9%
≤90d 765 -9.3% -17.9% 26% 19% -17.9%
all 765 -9.3% -17.9% 26% 19% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover215.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 19% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 16% -25.8%
15% -32.9% 15% -32.9%
20% -39.5% 15% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +58% → late -76% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
4.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$5 · ×1.58 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses197 / 568
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)765 / 713
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day215.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 765 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 2PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$21 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $176 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $412 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $227 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $329 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records