Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T23:59:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
89 0x8900…5c77 crypto 1191 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (436 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$298 (-0%) realized −$298 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate92%1184W / 105L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$65per market
Trades / day435.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$490
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (436 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1289 -7.1% -15.9% 92% 0% -11.2%
≤30d 1289 -7.1% -15.9% 92% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 1289 -7.1% -15.9% 92% 0% -11.2%
all 1289 -7.1% -15.9% 92% 0% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover435.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 0% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 0% -19.7%
15% -31.3% 0% -27.5%
20% -38.1% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$23 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.38 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized−$298
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1184 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1289 / 1191
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$65
Trades / day435.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1289 Trades
no open positions (106 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 23 $36 −$36 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 23 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 23 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 23 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 23 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 23 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $254 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $167 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $204 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $177 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 59m
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $348 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $446 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $164 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.79 · official $2.95 (match) · 3500 history records