Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8902…6989
crypto · 2016 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$2,311 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,309 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$17
Realized+$2,309
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses1086 / 684
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1770 / 2016
Avg bet$8
Trades / day87.0
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1770 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$273
7 days+$635
14 days+$1,127
30 days+$2,309
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 61¢ 69¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 56¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+17%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +106%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,542
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $8 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +34.1% +21.3% 73% 73% +22.3%
≤30d 1770 +15.3% +4.3% 61% 61% +7.0%
≤90d 1770 +15.3% +4.3% 61% 61% +7.0%
all 1770 +15.3% +4.3% 61% 61% +7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.3% 61% +7.0%
10% ← realistic here -5.7% 61% -3.3%
15% -14.8% 61% -12.6%
20% -23.1% 60% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.17 · official $15.57 · 3500 history records