Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:53:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
89 0x8902…4c5d crypto 1470 markets active 3d ago coverage 67d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 67d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$234 (-4%) realized −$234 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate67%990W / 480L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day33.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$20
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -18.0% -25.8% 53% 50% -25.6%
≤30d 344 -5.9% -14.9% 65% 43% -14.7%
≤90d 1470 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 41% -11.0%
all 1470 -2.8% -12.1% 67% 41% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 41% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 28% -19.5%
15% -28.2% 22% -27.3%
20% -35.2% 15% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$234
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses990 / 480
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1470 / 1470
History coverage67d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day33.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1470 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records