Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:33:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x890d…1a8b
other · 25 markets active 2h ago
7.0score
+$10 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$64
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses11 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions12
Markets (closed)13 / 25
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit12%
Chart Positions 12 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 82¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 59¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 60¢ 58¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 89¢ 84¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 70¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 93¢ 81¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 70¢ 59¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $1 +$2 +194%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +94%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $6 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$8
sports 22% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $10 2h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 99¢ $13 2h
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 93¢ $5 3h
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 70¢ $5 3h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 99¢ $3 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 12¢ $0 3h
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes $0 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 3h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 76¢ $10 4h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 79¢ $9 10h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 10h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 12h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $10 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 93¢ $2 16h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 98¢ $6 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 26h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 80¢ $5 33h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 76¢ $5 34h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 88¢ $10 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $1 2d
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 21¢ $1 2d
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 33¢ $1 2d
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 49¢ $1 2d
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 73¢ $1 3d
Will England win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 3d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 3d
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY Yes 89¢ $5 3d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 3d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +77%
net ROI/market (all)+25.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +39.0% +25.8% 85% 77% +12.8%
≤30d 13 +39.0% +25.8% 85% 77% +12.8%
≤90d 13 +39.0% +25.8% 85% 77% +12.8%
all 13 +39.0% +25.8% 85% 77% +12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +25.8% 77% +12.8%
10% +13.8% 69% +2.0%
15% +2.8% 46% -7.9%
20% -7.3% 23% -16.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.15 · official $64.15 (match) · 42 history records