Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:35:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8927…1f52
crypto · 411 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,666 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,666 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,666
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses349 / 558
Open positions0
Markets (closed)907 / 411
History coverage2d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day1400.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 907 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,799
7 days−$2,666
14 days−$2,666
30 days−$2,666
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$5 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$280
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-57.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 907 -53.0% -57.5% 38% 7% -21.2%
≤30d 907 -53.0% -57.5% 38% 7% -21.2%
≤90d 907 -53.0% -57.5% 38% 7% -21.2%
all 907 -53.0% -57.5% 38% 7% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1400.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.5% 7% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -61.5% 3% -28.7%
15% -65.2% 1% -35.6%
20% -68.7% 0% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records