Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8928…d4d4
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$133 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$135 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses3 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days−$135
14 days−$135
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$100 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-35.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -28.8% -35.6% 38% 38% -52.1%
≤30d 8 -28.8% -35.6% 38% 38% -52.1%
≤90d 8 -28.8% -35.6% 38% 38% -52.1%
all 8 -28.8% -35.6% 38% 38% -52.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.6% 38% -52.1%
10% -41.8% 38% -56.7%
15% -47.4% 25% -60.8%
20% -52.6% 12% -64.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.92 · official $5.92 (match) · 19 history records