Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8928…bfe4
crypto · 1291 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$894 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$306 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$306
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses875 / 423
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1298 / 1291
History coverage41d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day42.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1298 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$10
14 days−$18
30 days−$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$9 -271%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 −$8 -2124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$273
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +5.8% -4.3% 65% 63% -7.2%
≤30d 664 +2.6% -7.2% 67% 62% -13.2%
≤90d 1298 +1.4% -8.3% 67% 62% -11.9%
all 1298 +1.4% -8.3% 67% 62% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 62% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 48% -20.3%
15% -25.1% 34% -28.0%
20% -32.4% 22% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records