trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 43% | 39% | +28.6% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 43% | 39% | +28.6% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 43% | 39% | +28.6% |
| all | 23 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 43% | 39% | +28.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +42.3% | 39% | +28.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +28.7% | 39% | +16.3% |
| 15% | +16.2% | 39% | +5.0% |
| 20% | +4.8% | 26% | -5.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | No | 28¢ | 28¢ | $840 | $825 | −$15 (-2%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $660 | $644 | −$16 (-2%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 49¢ | 44¢ | $490 | $435 | −$55 (-11%) |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $320 | $300 | −$20 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1,236 | +$1,764 | +143% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $358 | +$142 | +40% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $316 | +$132 | +42% |
| Spread: Ghana (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $216 | −$210 | -97% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $342 | −$336 | -98% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $415 | −$405 | -98% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $438 | −$432 | -99% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $115 | +$1,285 | +1116% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $104 | +$46 | +44% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $245 | +$755 | +307% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $117 | +$133 | +114% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $118 | −$115 | -98% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1,607 | −$14 | -1% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $210 | +$190 | +91% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $31 | +$20 | +67% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 15 | $226 | −$14 | -6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 15 | $336 | −$7 | -2% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $0 | $0 | -19% |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$3 | -3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Jun 15 | $140 | −$38 | -27% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 15 | $172 | −$14 | -8% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 15? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 15 | $26 | $0 | +0% |