Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8935…7daa
sports · 72 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$323 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,490 · open +$167
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 69 History 448 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,490
7 days−$1,490
14 days−$1,490
30 days−$1,490
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 90¢ 86¢ $6,759 $6,526 −$233 (-3%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 52¢ 48¢ $6,398 $5,936 −$462 (-7%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ 52¢ $5,363 $5,390 +$27 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ 100¢ $1,252 $1,781 +$529 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 91¢ 100¢ $1,372 $1,508 +$136 (+10%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 74¢ $1,234 $1,480 +$246 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 44¢ 42¢ $1,269 $1,227 −$43 (-3%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 54¢ 57¢ $543 $578 +$35 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 14¢ $268 $419 +$151 (+57%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 86¢ 86¢ $163 $164 +$1 (+0%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C G2 NORD 89¢ 90¢ $138 $140 +$2 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 47¢ 46¢ $130 $130 −$1 (-0%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 84¢ 79¢ $134 $126 −$7 (-6%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 78¢ 73¢ $123 $114 −$9 (-7%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Karmine Corp Blue 52¢ 52¢ $99 $98 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 75¢ 76¢ $89 $90 +$1 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 31¢ 26¢ $103 $88 −$15 (-15%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5) GenOne 56¢ 100¢ $45 $79 +$35 (+78%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 60¢ 62¢ $77 $79 +$1 (+2%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 46¢ 48¢ $73 $76 +$3 (+4%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 51¢ 52¢ $71 $71 +$1 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 72¢ 70¢ $72 $71 −$1 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 66¢ $65 $62 −$3 (-5%)
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Anubis Gaming 51¢ 52¢ $59 $60 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 67¢ 67¢ $52 $52 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Jun 12 $17 −$2 -11%
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 −$11 -1722%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $1 −$7 -1343%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -36%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -180%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $0 $0 -80%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 12 $0 −$1 -205%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 12 $0 +$7 +4241%
ITF Nice: Nika Hurkacz vs Denislava Glushkova Jun 12 $0 −$5 -3848%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $0 +$6 +10463%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $0 −$7 -5679%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $0 −$8 -11741%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 −$18 -124%
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs 9INE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe C Jun 12 $54 −$77 -142%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $10 +$63 +645%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-14? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $111 −$118 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu Jun 12 $38 −$47 -122%
Maryland Terrapins vs. Northwestern Wildcats Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 +$6 +80%
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-03-21? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $143 +$1,706 +1195%
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $39 −$38 -97%
Solana Up or Down - March 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -102%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $16 +$30 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11? Jun 12 $34 −$40 -118%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$439
other 1% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 32¢ $65 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $161 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $94 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $3 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $34 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $27 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $620 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 63¢ $630 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $2 0m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $6 0m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 44¢ $279 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 90¢ $887 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $910 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 44¢ $15 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $45 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $16 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ $15 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 90¢ $13 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $66 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $32 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 54¢ $479 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $136 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $9 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $51 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $81 1m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 43¢ $202 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $532 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $275 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 91¢ $2 1m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 448 -3.0% -12.2% 12% 11% -19.2%
≤30d 448 -3.0% -12.2% 12% 11% -19.2%
≤90d 448 -3.0% -12.2% 12% 11% -19.2%
all 448 -3.0% -12.2% 12% 11% -19.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3219.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 11% -19.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 10% -26.9%
15% -28.3% 10% -34.0%
20% -35.3% 9% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27,005.34 · official $26,977.33 (match) · 3500 history records